RobinD - Blandat

[RobinD]

2011-01-01 13:45

Premier League

West Brom vs Man Utd

-0.75

FT

1

1.943

Reasoning

Utd away record may be far from fair when backing this play, but I am not backing the stats here. I am backing the fact that Fergie always gets results at the end. He lost 2 points to Brum and I think that is something that he is angry with.

WBA got hammered by Blackburn and misses long time injured Olsson, Jara and Tamas at the back. They allready are a side which concedes a lot. One clean sheet all season and 3 losses with +2 in the last 6 games.

I expect Utd to win this game and it can easily be a 2-0 or bigger win.

[RobinD]

2011-01-01 16:00

Premier League

West Ham vs Wolves

+0.5

FT

1

1.910

Reasoning

With Wolves performance at anfield fresh in mind I can't oversee the fact that Hammers priced @ any team arround 2.00 is wrong. Even if they have played decent at the offensive half they still leave a lot to wish for at back. And if Wolves perform as they did agains The Reds I think they could get a result here.

[RobinD]

2011-01-01 16:00

Championship

Hull vs Leicester X

X

FT

1

3.330

Reasoning

Leicester has a lot of work to do and pressure is on Svennis for a result here. Away record of 2-1-9 is not something they want to brag about.

Hull on the other hand is on form, winning for and drawing 4 in the last 8 games.

I do think that Hulls price is too short, and when the price for draw is the biggest one it can often be a good bet. Hull drops points in 63% of their home games, 37 of them has ended with a draw.

I usually do not punt draws, but I like this one and I need to give it a go.

[RobinD]

1-2 idag och öppnar nya spelåret med en förlustdag.

Men vad gör det när världens finaste klubb LIVERPOOL FC äntligen har lite medgång, spelar bra fotboll och vänder matchen mot Bolton!

Synd att man lyssnade på alla haters i chatten om att priset på Liverpool var för dåligt, visste att de skulle vinna idag.

You never walk alone!

[Jonken]

Andra halvlek var en fröjd att se

[Overkill]

Ursprungligen postat av Jonken

Andra halvlek var en fröjd att se

+1

[RobinD]

2011-01-02 12:00

Segunda Division

Granada vs Alcorcon

1

FT

1

1.830

Reasoning

Hosts Granada with one game in hand, looking for a victory to put them back in playoff placement. They are hosting Alcorcon, the team that shocked the world by eliminating Real Madrid in Copa del Rey a couple of years ago.

Granada has a strong record at home, 5-2-1 21-6, in fact they are one of the best scoring teams at home this season in the segunda. The guests Alcorcon on the other hand is a very poor travelling team with 0-2-6 5-16.

Granada has according to http://www.marca.com/2011/01/01/futb...293887546.html some doubt about top scorer Geijo, he received a muscular injury before the break and may not be able to start. Other than that they will miss; Ighalo who recently joined the club, Mainz and Abel Gomez.

All though it is much worse for Alcorcon missing three regulars on the midfield; Sergio Mora, Samuel and Ruben Sanz. They have failed to recover from injuries in time for this fixture. Also, left back Sanchez will be missing.

This match is vital for both teams, Granade to get back into the playoff spot and Alcorcon to leap ahead in the relegation race.

I think Granada is the clear favourite here and the price is too good, even if they miss Geijo they should be able to handle a poor side as Alcorcon that is forced to make several changes in their defensive and midfiled lines.

[RobinD]

2011-01-02 16:00

Scottish Division 2

Ayr vs Dumbarton

1

FT

1

1.763

Reasoning

Both teams should be eager to play, lots of games has been postponed due to bad weather in Scotland since the end of November.

Ayr Utd is a top team chasing playoff, they hold a playoff spot but need to keep thier pace to not see it slip out of their hand. Ayr missing defender Tiffoney, rotation midfielder Donnoly.

Dumbarton is still looking for first away win this season. They currently hold the last spot in the league. They are missing one of their top strikers (Gilhaney), they miss regular defender Gordon and they have doubt on another regular defender (Grisholm). Trialist Pat Walker who scored on his debut is available so as Carcary who is back from injury.

I feel the price is to high for teams in opposite sides of the table, home field advantage and injury problems that shouldnt give an edge to either team besides tha fact that a weaker team should miss them more.

A bit of a speculative bet here maybe, but 5-1-1 and Ayr is used to handle and brush of weaker teams.

› Ayr United playing against poor teams the current season. [won 4/6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Ayr United playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 5/7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ayr United playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 5/7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ayr United playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 9/15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Ayr United playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 5/8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Dumbarton playing against good teams the current season. [lost 5/7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Dumbarton playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 7/10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Dumbarton playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 5/6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Dumbarton playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 9/13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Dumbarton playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 6/7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Dumbarton playing in weekend the current season. [lost 9/13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Dumbarton playing in weekend at away the current season. [lost 6/7] [85.71%] [3*

[Overkill]

Kommer det någon rek på Ayr eller är det bara att hålla tummarna för att du har ett superlir?

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av performance

Kommer det någon rek på Ayr eller är det bara att hålla tummarna för att du har ett superlir?

Klart nu

[RobinD]

2-0 idag och 3-2 totalt 2011, trevligt

[RobinD]

2011-01-03 13:15

Npower League One

Huddersfield vs Sheff Wed ÖVER

Ö 2.5

FT

1

1.920

Hann inte motivera denna då min dator hängde sig, men ni som följer via rss kanske han ta den endå.

Annars finns den live på bland annat betfair.

[RobinD]

2011-01-03 16:00

Championship

Scunthorpe vs Watford

2

FT

1

2.380

Reasoning

The odd has been rising quite a bit now and I can not ignore such a price for a strong side as Watford. I know their streak will end sooner or later but there is quality differences between these sides. Scunthopre has failed to handle the pressure at home and if Watford keep pressure on I can not see Scunthorpe stopping them.

2011-01-03 16:00

Championship

Sheff Utd vs Doncaster ÖVER

Ö 2.5

FT

1

2.025

Reasoning

I am going for the obvious pick here, over 2.5 priced over 2.00 between two teams that strung together three consecutive over games each. Both conceding a lot with Sheff Utd scored 2 in three games in a row and scored in their last 4 matches.

Bookies might be right and we will see this go way under, but I need to try it.

[RobinD]

Hur denna dagen hittade plus med tanke på ställning i HT är ett under! Men lite gnäll i avreageringstråden gav resultat!

[papak]

Snyggt! Nu har jag inte varit sarskilt uppdaterad pa sistone men vf skriver du pa engelska?