RobinD - Blandat

[RobinD]

2010-12-27 21:00

Premier League

Arsenal vs Chelsea ÖVER

Ö 0.5

HT

1

1.460

Reasoning

Two teams with great offensive power and 75% of Arsenals home games went over and 77.78% of Chelseas away games went over. Both teams have had some troubles keeping clean sheets lately and even if Chelsea only conceded 12 goals so far 7 of them came the last 5 games.

At the same time Arsenal has to many flaws at back to keap Chelsea out and I see value in laying 0-0 at this odds.

[RobinD]

Domaren höll en bra nivå i halvtid, snackade istället för att dela ut gula kort. Men när RVP och Kalou karatesparkar helt i onödan så har vi helt plötsligt 3 varningar i HT. Inte kul alls, hoppas att killarna inte flippar i andra och nöjer sig med max 2 gula.

[RobinD]

sweeep swooop sweeep!

[Majo]

Ser ut som att du har vänt trenden, snyggt

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av Majo

Ser ut som att du har vänt trenden, snyggt

Ja, det ser så ut

[apekatt66]

Tackar för kort-spelet

OT: Suger lite att inte få se 3D-TV när man har allt utom den fjantiga boxen...

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av apekatt66

Tackar för kort-spelet

OT: Suger lite att inte få se 3D-TV när man har allt utom den fjantiga boxen...

NP, det satt på fitthåret tillslut.

[RobinD]

2010-12-28 16:00

Premier League

West Brom vs Blackburn

1

FT

1

1.870

Reasoning

Blackburn is team in deep trouble, 3 losses in 5 last fixtures and 1-1 against West Ham at home was far from fair in my opinion. Today new manager or atleast new temporary manager Kean will select from these gentelmen:

Robinson, Salgado, Hanley, Nelsen, Givet, Olsson, Dunn, Emerton, Pedersen, Kalinic, MB Diouf, Bunn, Samba, EH Diouf, Linganzi, Doran, Benjani, Hoilett, Morris, Lowe.

Samba will be tested late and even if he makes it he is probably not 100% fit and I am not sure if that would to be considered a plus to have him on the pitch in that case.

Phil Jones, Jason Roberts, Vince Grella, Steven Nzonzi and Keith Andrews are not available for this match and if Samba doesn't make it Blackburn will miss two important players in the central line along with Roberts up front they feel mediocre at best.

WBA is a side who has done well this season, at home they are a decent side with 4-2-2 10-11 but they seem to take points from the teams below or around them in the table. They will miss Chris Brunt due to a suspension, it will hurt their creativity but I feel there is more of it at the home side.

And Blackburn is a side close to chaos, I think WBA fancies their chances here.

[RobinD]

2010-12-28 16:00

Premier League

Man City vs Aston Villa

1

HT/FT

1

2.400

Reasoning

Stats: Villa has been behind at the break in 4 out of 8 away games this season, if you narrow down the losses they have been down 4 out of 6 times.

Man City has only been in front 2 times at home this season, not very good statistics for this bet. But consider the total of the league and they are 4th in the half time table with 7-9-3.

If you look at Man Citys winning games, 7/10 has been with a lead at half time.

I was looking at a handicap bet here at first, but I feel there is more value here. I will try to explain why:

Aston Villa most likely is without A.Young, L.Young and E.Heskey, for Villa to be without A.young their only star player is a massive loss. A teams with as poor defence as Villa (we saw it against Spurs) will also miss L.young at back. CIty will have Toure back and Villa need to put Agbonlahor and/or Delfouneso at front. Yes Agbo has some speed, but without Heskey we will just run in vain at best.

Man City stepped on it against Magpies and punished them for their mistakes at back early in the game. I think they are told to do about the same today. And I rather give it a go at halftime/full time than a handicap which might be broken by a late goal when Man City relax in a comofortable 2-0 lead or so.

Tevez, Silva, Balotelli, Milner, Johnson all pose a lethal threat and I really cant see Villa close to a point today. Hopefully former Villa captain Barry and player Milner is really fired up for this game.

[RobinD]

2010-12-28 16:00

Premier League

Sunderland vs Blackpool UNDER

U 2.5

FT

1

2.200

Sunderland is a very hard team to score against, they keep a clean sheet 47% of the games they play and 6/9 games at home they had their oponents shut out.

Teams like City, Man U and Arsenal struggled at the Stadium of Light, at the same time they only managed to score 3 goals once this season. Against Chelsea away strange enough.

Today Sunderland will welcome back Danny Welbeck and Lee Cattermole to the squad, Cattermole is vital for Sunderlands defence now that they will miss Mensah, Turner and Bramble just returning after an injury. Sunderland has a very good goali in Gordon and a defence/midfield with many hard working characters.

At front Gyan, Welbeck and Bent is capable of scoring, but I feel that they are not as sharp as you would expect. Maybe I am wrong here looking at the oppostion which clearly have had troubles keeping the ball out, but at the same time showing strenght in front of their opponents goal.

Blackpool captain Adams and topscorer Harewood is sidelined and much of their strenght at front stays at the side of the pitch. This game is also a game important to both teams, Sunderland close to that 7th and last UEFA spot and Pool wouldn't want to lose points to the teams in behind.

I think the goal line is likely to be set on 50% on each side and I am happy to take the side priced at 2.20.

[RobinD]

2-1 och plus idag, smutt.

[RobinD]

2010-12-29 20:45

Clydesdale Bank Premier

St Mirren vs Hearts

2

FT

1

2.140

Reasoning

S:t Mirren is without striker Gareth Wardlaw due to a suspention. Last game S:t mirren beat Inverness and then Craig Dargo took Wardlaws place up front with Michael Higdon. Saints boss Lennon said he might rest Dargo and in that case Paul McQuade could make his debut, or Paul McGowan could be moved up front. And Lee Mair, Garry Brady, Steven Robb, Nick Hegarty and Hugh Murray are all still missing.

S:t Mirren is up for some major changes in their team and Hearts only have one absent player, a big one yes (Skacel). But scottish national player Lee Wallace is back from injury and ready to take part in some way.

Hearts ended their winning streak last game after a draw at home to Inverness, a result not very flattering. Today is a perfect day to get back to winning. And when odds have increased so much during they day I will have a go.

[RobinD]

2010-12-29 21:00

Premier League

Liverpool vs Wolves

1

HT/FT

1

1.880

Liverpool is starting the best lineup in a long time:

Liverpool: Reina, Johnson, Konchesky, Skrtel, Kyrgiakos, Lucas, Meireles, Gerrard, Kuyt, Torres, Ngog.

Only Charragher and Joe Cole is really missing from this lineup if you don't count in Agger who is injuerd all the time.

Wolves on the other hand are missing CaptainKarl Henry, David Jones och Adlene Guedioura that makes 3/4 of the midfield starters. Jody Craddock is also long time absent.

Wolves problem has been that they try to play footbal, they are not good enough. If they defend with ten men they might be able to hold the Reds to a draw in halftime.

Liverpool at anfield is a tough task for many teams, they have been in front 3/4 last home games and won all 4. Wolves has been behind in 4/5 last away losses. I expect liverpool to take secure win here, and I expect them to command from start.

[superduffy]

Ursprungligen postat av RobinD

Liverpool is starting the best lineup in a long time:

Liverpool: Reina, Johnson, Konchesky, Skrtel, Kyrgiakos, Lucas, Meireles, Gerrard, Kuyt, Torres, Ngog.

Only Charragher and Joe Cole is really missing from this lineup if you don't count in Agger who is injuerd all the time.

Wolves on the other hand are missing CaptainKarl Henry, David Jones och Adlene Guedioura that makes 3/4 of the midfield starters. Jody Craddock is also long time absent.

Wolves problem has been that they try to play footbal, they are not good enough. If they defend with ten men they might be able to hold the Reds to a draw in halftime.

Liverpool at anfield is a tough task for many teams, they have been in front 3/4 last home games and won all 4. Wolves has been behind in 4/5 last away losses. I expect liverpool to take secure win here, and I expect them to command from start.

Lite sent kanske men på bet365 ger den 1.90

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av superduffy

Lite sent kanske men på bet365 ger den 1.90

doh, ja så kan det gå. Oddsportal.com har inte alltid rätt koll.