Robin nöter Belgien/Holland

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av snooze

den bosh sålde ju sin beästa striker just nu Verhoek 10+ mål, samt har man skaffat en ny målvakt från utrecht för att deras egna sög. kommer inte detta påverka över? eller du tror waalwijk göra alla 3+ målen?

BOL

Jag trodde iaf inte att det skulle påverka i den utsträckningen som det ser ut att göra. 0-0 i paus och mina överspel fortsätter att vara kalla...

[RobinD]

Katastrof igår.. upp på hästen i Belgien idag.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 260450

Reasoning

Club Brugge picked up their form again after the new year and are again included in the titel race. GBA picked up their first win in the leage in a long time beating Zulte last weekend. In the midweek they again lost to Cercle 2-0 on away field.

Club Brugge is the bigger team here, missing in Brugge is keeper Stijn Stijnen, Hoefkens and Blondel.

For GBA we find: "Bart Goor *, Wim De Decker, Tome Pacovski, Mike Smet, Dudu and Bavon Tshibuabua absence due to injury. Daniel Cruz saw his suspension reduced to two rounds a conditional suspension of a match day and can just play tonight. "

GBA will struggle tonight.

[Overkill]

Är inte oddset en tiondel högre @ Pinnen, RobinD?

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av performance

Är inte oddset en tiondel högre @ Pinnen, RobinD?

jo det är det, misstype

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 260919

Reasoning

Kortrijk is a tight team in house and only let 7 goals slip past them. They have mostly been against weeker teams, and some times they ment nothing for the outcome of the game.

Besides from Anderlecht, Lieges goal in stoppage time is the only one they let pass from upper half teams.

They just recently sold Mboye to Gent and only have Rossini as a fit striker tonight. Cercle is a team that is slightly overrepresented in the overs on away field. But remember that they beat Charleroi with 5-0, lost Clearly to Zulte with 4-0 and Genk with 3-0.

Circumstances that needs to be considered when going for a goal line here. This is a game also which is of importance to both teams in the fight for playoff spots. Cercle may be a bit tired as they were playing a midweek cup game this week as well.

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av RobinD

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 260919

Reasoning

Kortrijk is a tight team in house and only let 7 goals slip past them. They have mostly been against weeker teams, and some times they ment nothing for the outcome of the game.

Besides from Anderlecht, Lieges goal in stoppage time is the only one they let pass from upper half teams.

They just recently sold Mboye to Gent and only have Rossini as a fit striker tonight. Cercle is a team that is slightly overrepresented in the overs on away field. But remember that they beat Charleroi with 5-0, lost Clearly to Zulte with 4-0 and Genk with 3-0.

Circumstances that needs to be considered when going for a goal line here. This is a game also which is of importance to both teams in the fight for playoff spots. Cercle may be a bit tired as they were playing a midweek cup game this week as well.

Den här grämer mig verkligen.. 90+2 och underspelet fuckas.

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 262022

Reasoning

Gent is a top team, recently adding power to their attack by signing Mboye from Kortrijk. STVV is missing a lot of regulars today and they are filling the team with youths to compensate for only 13 A-squad players available.

Third goalkeeper in goal and Schoofs, Henkinet, Evertz, Volders, Buysens and Antheunis out injured.

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 263383

Almere City is still struggling a lot and has not yet been rewarded for their efforts lately, Sparta with som new found confidence should be able to find a victory here. And if they win I reckon it will be more than one goal.

Sparta need to take points as the playoffs are closing in, they are not to be written off from the period battle either.

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 265653

Reasoning

Charleroi have done some major shopping this transfer window, desperately seeking ways to save this season. I think they brought in 13 new names this window.

How ever, not many are able to play tomorrow and if you compare the squad to the latest game we can see this:

New players that played last game and are not included in tomorrows squad:

Riou(Gk), Dzinic, Ohayon, Martos, Biton, Kahlon. 4 of these players played in the game before aswell besides Martos and Biton. I am not quite sure why they are not included. It is because this game is one that has been postponed from december and the players are not allowed to play because of that. Of the ~13 new signings only Kchab, Delplank and Signorino is allowed to play.

How ever, Charleroi is precenting a squad without 10-11 newcomers and I estimate arround 6 newcomes that are going directly into the starting 11. They are also missing regulars Franquart, Vourinen and Olufade(not regular). Elie (6 apps) is now in Arles, Tibi (9 apps), Diallo (6 apps) and Kage (13 apps) is not called up

Squad instead contains:

Baguette(GK), 11 apps
Hatefi(GK), 6 apps
Aarab, 20 apps 1 goal
Becker, 0 apps (reserv player, not included in A-squad before)
Cordaro, 21 apps
Delplank, 0 apps New signing, can't find out any info about him.
Fabris, 8 apps
Grégoire, 5 apps
Gueye, 17 apps 1 goal
Houdret, 0 apps
Kaya, 18 apps 2 goals
Keita, o apps
Kchab, 0 apps New signing?
Lazitch, 7 apps
Losada, 20 apps 5 goals
Perdichizzi, 3 apps
Signorino, 4 apps
Serwy, 14 apps 1 goal
Tormena, 17 apps

A very inexperienced squad, hardly functioning as good together. They now host GBA, lead by former Charleroi coach Jacky Mathijssen. GBA misses Wamfor due to suspension, Porokara and Kabananga.

GBA is a team that are better than the table suggests, but they have also showed a poor form on the road and I will try not to give them to much credit here. 2/10 is fne for me.

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 265999

Reasoning

Genk is onf of the best teams against the spread on home pitch. They have missed to beat the spread 3 times. -1.25 to Kortrijk half loss, -0.5 to Gent and -0 to Anderlecht.

They have only been given the spread of -1.5 in one home game, but consider that they broke -0.75 up till -1.5 with more than 2 goals no less than 7 out of 11 games.

Tomorrow they are facing a poor away team that mot of the times are given lines not good enough to save them. 36.36% of the games they covered the spread. By two scoreless draws to Mechelen and Germinal Beerschot, one upset and a underperforming GBA. One time against Leirse and one time +1.5 to Standard Liege, who are very inconsistent.

Tomorrow STVV are heading to Genk and on Saturday they are travelling to meet Anderlecht, two away games that they will struggle. Genk knows that they need to win this, and so far they have not stumpled under the pressure.

STVV is missing several players for tomorrows game aswell. Suspended Dufer, injured Kotysch, Volders, Antheunis, Evertz, Henkinet and Schoofs. Along with new signings Bram Castro, Tibor Tisza and Mannaseh Ishiaku.

Good news are that two long term injured players are well and one of them Bertjens can maybe take part in the game while Buysens most likely will sit out on the bench for all 90 minutes.

Sidebe did score at home against Gent last game and ruined my bet, he is most likely to only player to watch out for and I think that this bet will fail only if Genk fails to produce. I see them keeping a cleen sheet or letting in a goal that will not effect the outcome of the game.

Consider that STVV lost with +2 goals in 7 out o 11 away games. I think the line might be heading towards 1.75.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 266051

Reasoning

Mechelen are missing key striker Benteke and backup offensive player Dialiba. Mechelen has a solid defence, proved it last game against Anderlecht by keeping a clean sheet. The problem for the moment is the goalscoring. Onlye two goals last 6 games has been produced and since Benteke is out most of the goals are to be expected from midfield players such as Gorius, Destorme, Wilmet or such. They all produced in the first half of the season but it was some time ago any of them came on the score sheet.

Kortrijk is a poor travelling team, and they ruined my unders last game by turning around a 0-1 to 2-1 on stoppage time despite the fact that they were missing key offensive players. They did all though against a weaker defence on home soil.

This time they still only have Rossini as available natural striker, as Scepovic isn't allowed to play and Capon is unavailable. Another offensive fore that is up for a late fitness test tomorrow is De Beule. If he misses the chances of this going over decreases even more. Keep in mind that Messoudi, two time scorer in the last turn arround victory is not elected in the squad for a reason I can not find.

I have to go with this under as I have trouble seeing either of these teams producing more then one of each. I was close to going on under 2.25 but I will be satisfied with the price on under 2.5.

[snooze]

matiga rekar! d gillar vi!

[RobinD]

Ursprungligen postat av snooze

matiga rekar! d gillar vi!

Nu är jag trött, borde sovit för 3 timmar sedan. Jesus vad lång tid sånt här tar, kul att det uppskattas iaf. Trots svåra tider!

[RobinD]

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 273595

Reasoning

RKC has a briljant chance here to closen the gap to Zwolle after Zwolle only managed 0-0 att Sittard in the last fixture. RKC and Zwolle will be the two teams fighting for the promotion spot, and if RKC want it they need a win here.

Sittard has been active dureing the window, signing half a team and they are said to be good signings, all though, they are new and are still transfered to a low ranked Jupiler League.

RKC also has some revensch to demand after losing at home to Sittard.

I think RKC has a really good chance here, with players like Boerrigter 12 goals and D. de Groot up front they pose quite a threat to any team in the league.

[RobinD]

Kommer ta till en pussy move och stänga denna dagbok nu.

Anledningen är lika enkel som självklar. Det har inte gått så pass bra i Holland som jag hade tänkt och det kostar mig pengar. Kan inte fortsätta pressa fram spel bara för att upprätthålla någon form av självutdelad status.

Anledningen till att jag har dålig utdelning är också att detta sheet startade i SEK coh inte units, vilket var oerhört korkat. Min rulle har vuxit och jag har anpassat insatserna efter min rulle. När jag då åkte på en cold streak (14-19 med insatser 450) så äter det ju fortarae upp den förtjänst jag gjorde på mindre spel trots att antal U var detsamma.

Sheetet är således missvisande och dessutom preserar jag dåligt.

Kommer fortsätta posta mina picks, men jag slår ihop spelen jag lirar i mitt andra sheet.

MOD ni kan låsa denna dagbok.

[Qirren]

Låses på TS begäran.

//MOD