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Currently have 100% Hit on the norwegian league, with 2 max plays on it. (8-0-0)
After last round, I looked this up immediately, and after that i've focused on this game and this game only. I like to think that im right on this one, as I feel quite confident this is a winner.
Rosenborg are the new team in the league, and they've done really well, but as most new teams they start well, but then it starts fading down. Looking at their schedule, they had the norwegian champs Valerenga in the first round away, they lost with 3-0. Not bad at all, but as that was the first round, its hard to rate it.
After that they have only met lower tier teams, but now it starts to get tougher. Rosenborg faced Manglerud at home last time, manglerud who had, 2:13 in goal difference on away games before the game. Manglerud managed to get the lead and had it for a long time, before Rosenborg managed to equalize (2-2), later on Rosenborg won after penalties.
Now lets look at some statistics, Sparta is currently 1st in the league, last game they beat the 2nd team Stavanger with 4-0. They've played 4 home games, and won all of them with 19:4 in goal difference, (they let in 3 goals against Lillehammer). Manglerud who played draw against rosenborg, lost against Sparta with 6-0 when they faced them, Stavanger who Sparta beat last round, won against Rosenborg with 3-0 when they played eachother in Rosenborgs last Away game.
Right now Sparta is too strong for Rosenborg, their home play is working out to be amazing, and Rosenborgs away play is not good as they have 5:14 in goal difference on away games (4 of their 5 goals were scored against Lillehammer)
All of Rosenborgs losses away have ended in 3 goal difference or more, All of Spartas wins at home have ended 3 goal difference or more (except one).
I dont see why this should not be a good bet, im playing it as maxbet.
Sparta -2 @ 1.93
Note: You can reach me at the new email, I sent you last play. Good luck!