Hmm spelade Sverige igår då de såg bra ut tyckte jag men tog nu en snabb titt på ELO-ratingen där det skiljer 135 poäng (ca 33%-67% ml på neutral plan.)
Dunkar jag på hemmafördel med magkänsla kommer jag till gräns: ~3:ish på Sverige raka. Lite justeringar för skador, hur det sett ut denna turnering osv och gränsen sjunker till vad ska vi säga 2,70 +/- 0,10.
men ett dåligt spel kan också sitta
note to self: fundera först, spela sedan
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"…a soccer match is equivalent to two teams throwing a dice. The number 6 means goal and the number of attempts of both teams is fixed already at the beginning of the match, reflecting their respective fitness in that season."